By Nicos Christodoulakis
This publication presents a quantitative framework for the research of clash dynamics and for estimating the industrial expenditures linked to civil wars. the writer develops converted Lotka-Volterra equations to version clash dynamics, to yield life like representations of conflict approaches, and to permit us to evaluate lengthy clash traps. the commercial expenses of civil wars are evaluated with assistance from substitute equipment: to start with, the writer employs a construction functionality to figure out how the destruction of human and actual capital shares undermines fiscal development within the medium time period. Secondly, he develops a man-made regulate technique, the place the price is got because the divergence of exact fiscal job from a hypothetical course within the absence of civil struggle. the adaptation among the 2 techniques supplies a sign of the adversarial externalities impinging upon the economic system within the type of institutional destruction. by utilizing precise time-series concerning conflict casualties, neighborhood socio-economic symptoms, and capital inventory destruction throughout the Greek Civil struggle (1946-1949), a full-scale program of the above framework is gifted and discussed.
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An Economic Analysis of Conflicts: With an Application to the Greek Civil War 1946-1949 by Nicos Christodoulakis